Dr. William B. Fairley

Analysis & Inference, Inc.
1489 Baltimore Pike, Suite 305
Springfield, PA 19064
Web Site
Phone: 610-543-0159
Fax: 610-543-8952

Analysis & Inference, Inc. provides authoritative statistical and consulting services nationwide to corporations, government agencies, law firms, and other organizations.

Dr. Fairley is skilled at presenting complex ideas to non-experts.

Statistical expertise includes: regression analysis, sampling and research design, reliability and validity, statistical significance, modeling and estimation, probability and risk analysis, data mining and analysis, quality control, and forecasting and time series.

Practice areas include: commercial litigation and damages; discrimination, labor, and employment; insurance and healthcare; real estate; telecommunications; theft and fraud; product liability and accidents; public policy and education; surveys and audits.

Background

Q: Please list your professional accreditations, degrees, licenses, and certificates granted:
A: Harvard University (1961-1967), Ph.D., Department of Statistics, 1968; M.A., 1965; Woodrow Wilson and National Science Foundation Fellowships.
London School of Economics (1960-1961), Fulbright Fellowship.
Swarthmore College (1957-1960), B.A. with High Honors and Phi Beta Kappa, 1960. Major in Economics, Minors in History and Philosophy.

Q: Please list your affiliations or memberships in any professional and/or industry organizations:
A: Dr. Fairley is a member of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Economic Association, American Statistical Association, and the Society for Risk Analysis. In the American Statistical Association, he is a member of the Sections on Statistical Consulting, Survey Statistics, and Bayesian Statistics. Dr. Fairley was a member of the Committee on Professional Ethics, 1995 to 1997 and the Committee on Law and Justice Statistics 2009 to 2011.

Q: Please list any teaching or speaking experience you have had, including subject matter:
A: Teaching

Harvard University (1970-1976), Kennedy School of Government, Public Policy Program. Statistics in Public Policy and Law. Taught courses on statistics at the Harvard Law School (with Michael Finkelstein, Frederick Mosteller, and Lloyd Weinreb).

New York University (1990-91), Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Visiting Professor of Statistics and Operations Research. Subjects: statistics and quality control/management.

Swarthmore College (1990), Department of Mathematics. Visiting Professor. Subject: Mathematical statistics

Temple University (1987-89), Department of Statistics. Adjunct Lecturer. Subject: Statistics

University of Karachi (Spring 1976) Visiting Professor, and consultant, Applied Economics Research Center, Ford Foundation and Government of Pakistan. Subject: statistics of sampling

New York University (1969-1970), Graduate School of Business. Graduate teaching and research in statistics. Organized and chaired Conference on Quantitative Analysis in Urban Affairs, May 1970; Member of the Committee on Urban Problems.

Speaking

Panelist, “Solo Consulting: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly”, American Statistical Association at the Association’s Annual Meetings August 2012, San Diego.

Organizer, Invited Session, “Experiences of Statistical Consulting in Lawsuits”, American Statistical Association at the Association’s Annual Meetings August 2010, Vancouver.

Invited presentation, “Bootstrap Resampling and Propensity Scores in Statistical Learning, Random Forests, and Bagging to Assign Ownership of Unclaimed Property,” with Marc Sobel and Kenneth Swartz, International Symposium on Business and Industrial Statistics-2007 (ISBIS-2007), August 18-21, 2007, a satellite conference of the International Statistical Institute 2007 Meetings in Lisbon, Portugal.

Organizer, Session, “The Statistician’s Contribution to Fact-Finding in
Law”, sponsored by the Statistical Consulting Section of the American Statistical Association at the Association’s Annual Meetings August 2007, Salt Lake City.

Speaker, Invited presentation to the Winter Gathering of the Philadelphia Chapter of the American Statistical Association, January 26, 2007.

Participant, Mock Trial, Quantitative Analysis in Law, University of Pennsylvania Law School, December 2006.

Speaker, “A Consulting Role in Dispute Resolution”, invited presentation to the Fall Meeting of the Philadelphia Chapter of the American Statistical Association,. October 9, 2003.

Speaker, “A Consulting Role in Legal Applications”, invited presentation at the 20th Annual Spring Conference sponsored by the Delaware Chapter of the American Statistical Association, “Probable Justice: Statistics and the Judiciary,” April 25, 2003.

Speaker, “Statistics Without Measurements: Promotions and Age in a Police Department,” American Statistical Association Annual Meeting, Indianapolis, 2000.

Speaker, “Non-starter Models of Promotion in Age Discrimination”, Fourth International Conference on Forensic Statistics, Raleigh, North Carolina, December 1999.

Speaker, “Credible Argument: School Finance in a Legal Trial,” American Statistical Association Annual Meeting, Baltimore, 1999.

Speaker, “A Case Study of Masonry Deterioration and Civil Damages: Calibration and Poisson Regression,” Second International Conference on Forensic Statistics, Tempe, Arizona March 1993.

Speaker, “Establishing Quantity Estimates and Levels of Certainty in Predicting Structural Damage: A Masonry Case Study”, with Alan J. Izenman and A. Rhett Whitlock, Third International Masonry Conference, London, October 1992.

Participant, Research Workshop, “Creating and Implementing Quality in Organizations”, SEI Center for Advanced Studies in Management, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, March, 1990.

Speaker, “Estimating Mine Equipment Injury Rates”, Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, San Francisco, October 1989.

Invited Lecture Series, “Statistics in Law and Public Policy: How to Bet If You Must”, Temple University, Department of Statistics, April 1989.

Winner, Journal of Risk and Insurance Clifford D. Spangler Award of the Alpha Kappa Psi Foundation, 1989.

Speaker, “Empirical Bayes Procedures for Welfare Quality Control,” American Statistical Association Annual Meeting, Washington D.C., 1989.

Chair, “Estimation for Welfare Quality Control,” American Statistical Association Annual Meeting, New Orleans, 1988.

Speaker, “Error Rate and Penalty Inference for Quality Control in Public Welfare Programs,” American Statistical Association Annual Meeting, San Francisco, August 1987.

Speaker, “Estimated Public Welfare Quality Control Error Rates and Penalties,” Third Valencia International Meeting on Bayesian Statistics, Altea, Spain, June, 1987.

Speaker, “Quantitative Risk Assessment: A Study of DDT,” Temple Environmental Forum, Philadelphia, Fall 1986.

Speaker, “Decision Uses of Quantitative Risk Assessment,” Gordon Research Conference Seminar on Statistics in Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, New Hampton School, New Hampshire, July 1985.

Participant, “The City of New Amsterdam vs. Armored Coin Collection Company,” mock trial presented by The Panel on Statistical Assessments in the Courts, National Academy of Sciences, at American Statistical Association Annual Meeting, Las Vegas, 1985.

Speaker, “A Question of Theft,” American Statistical Association Annual Meeting, Philadelphia, August 1984.

Chairman, “Insurance and Risk Management” session, Society of Risk Analysis, Annual Meeting, New York City, August 1983.

Speaker, “A Probability Model for Brittle Fracture Turbine Reliability,” Society for Risk Analysis, Annual Meeting, New York City, August 1983.

Speaker, “Insurance Market Assessment of Technological Risks”, with Michael B. Meyer and Paul L. Chernick, Annual Meeting, American Association for the Advancement of Science, Detroit, May 1983.

Member and Speaker, Advisory Committee to the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ Task Force on Profitability and Investment Income, 1982-83.

Discussant, “The Use of Statistics in Litigation,” American Statistical Association, Annual Meeting, Detroit, August 1981.

Speaker, “Market Risk Assessment of Catastrophic Risk,” Summer Study in Decision Processes and Institutional Aspects for Risks, International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis, Vienna, June 1981.

Speaker, “Catastrophic Risks: Case of Zero Occurrences of Accidents,” Annual Meeting of the American Statistical Society, Session on “Statistics, Reliability and Risks,” Houston, Texas, August 13, 1980.

Chairman of Session “Equitable Risk Classification in Competitive Insurance Markets,” American Economic Association and Association of Property and Casualty Insurance Economists, Annual Meeting, Atlanta, Georgia, December 28, 1979.

Speaker, “Regulatory Rate Setting Decisions in Automobile Insurance: Massachusetts Experience,” Public Policy Research Conference, University of Chicago, October 19, 1979.

Panelist, “Accident Risk Assessments,” Symposium/Workshop on “Nuclear and Nonnuclear Energy Systems: Risk Assessment and Governmental Decision Making,” Washington, D.C., February 1979, Mitre Corporation.

Chair and Speaker, Session “Is Automobile Insurance Priced Fairly? Equity and Statistical Validity in Risk Classification,” American Statistical Association Annual Meeting, San Diego, August 1978.

Panelist of Session “Capacity and Solvency,” Society of Actuaries and Casualty Actuarial Society Annual Meeting, New York City, April 1978.

Speaker, “Profits and Rates of Return in Property-Liability Insurance,” Society of Actuaries Research Conference on Modeling Financial Markets, New York University, September 1977.

Discussant, “Statistics in the Law,” American Statistical Association, Annual Meeting, Boston, August 1976.

Speaker, “Statistics and Public Policy,” Institute of Mathematical Statistics Meeting, Yale University, August 1976.

Speaker, “Problems in the Estimation of ‘Small’ Probabilities,” Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk Benefit Methodology and Application, Asilomar, California, September 1975.

Q: Have any of your accreditations ever been investigated, suspended or removed? (if yes, explain)
A: No.

Q: On how many occasions have you been retained as an expert?
A: 250+

Q: For what area(s) of expertise have you been retained as an expert?
A: Statistics primarily. Also Economics and Finance.

Q: In what percentage of your cases were you retained by the plaintiff?
A: Half. Plaintiffs or defendants are almost always (but not always) corporations, government agencies, or other organizations.

Q: In what percentage of your cases were you retained by the defendant?
A: Half

Q: On how many occasions have you had your deposition taken?
A: 25+

Q: When was the last time you had your deposition taken?
A: September 23, 2013

Q: On how many occasions have you been qualified by a court to give expert testimony?
A: 25+

Q: On how many occasions have you testified as an expert in court or before an arbitrator?
A: 25+ (including mediation)

Q: For how many years have you worked with the legal industry as an expert?
A: 35

Q: What services do you offer? (E.g.: consulting, testing, reports, site inspections etc.)
A: - Consult on how data and analysis can be used to address fact issues
- Analyze data using appropriate statistical techniques
- Critique other experts
- Write reports and present testimony as requested
- Assist in framing requests for and responses to discovery
- Brief lawyers on statistical questions
- Collect data via random sampling, designed experiments, surveys
etc.
- Create and manage databases
- Assist in depositions, negotiations, hearings, trials, and appeals
- Create charts for hearings

Q: What is your hourly rate to consult with an attorney?
A: $625 for myself and tiered rates for other staff.

Q: What is your hourly rate to review documents?
A: Same.

Q: What is your hourly rate to provide deposition testimony?
A: Same.

Q: What is your hourly rate to provide testimony at trial?
A: Same.

Q: Please list any fees other than those stated above (E.g.: travel expenses, copy fees, etc.)
A: Out of pocket expenses such as travel, FedEx, charts.

References

Upon request.